Playoff Drama Alert

Well, well, well due to Phil trying to beat the odds we are back for a second week of playoffs analysis.

I'll keep it brief. It's only worth noting that this is based on the current standings of points for because by the looks of things we're going down to points for to determine the wild-card slot! Here are the predicted of making the playoffs for each team:

Team	Playoff Odds
The Dream Team	100.00%
Tom’s Tyrants	100.00%
ADRZ	100.00%
The Tuckfards	52.96%
Burdettinators	25.48%
Obi Wan Ganobi	12.08%
IKSAN	3.48%
Forge Flyers	3.16%
Bear Necessities	2.52%
50 Trent	0.00%
Gridiron Gang	0.00%
Patistan	0.00%

 And the individual matchup odds:

Team A	Chance of Beating	Team B
I KNOW SOMETHING ABOUT NFL	44.77%	Burdettinators
Obi Wan Ganobi	58.53%	Gridiron Gang
Tom’s Tyrants	54.65%	Bear Necessities
Turn Down For Watt	46.91%	The Tuckfards
The Dream Team	61.74%	Forge Flyers
Patistan	36.39%	Andy Dalton Red Zone

Team	Points For	Points Against
Tom's Tyrants	1546.16	1468.46
The Dream Team	1518.78	1317.1
Andy Dalton Red Zone	1463.58	1382.22
The Tuckfards	1458.08	1356.12
Burdettinators	1415.8	1361.78
Obi Wan Ganobi	1391.3	1328.36
Bear Necessities	1359.76	1304.72
50 Trent	1319.04	1406.86
Forge Flyers	1307.54	1313.02
I KNOW SOMETHING ABOUT NFL	1202.58	1268.4
Gridiron Gang	1157.26	1479.66
Patistan	1148.96	1302.14

Not entirely sure why the Bear Necessities have lower odds than FF and IKNAN given their projected points for ranking. It must be something to do with the combination of matchups which lead to their victory being slightly smaller but you can read 2.52% or 3.5% as pretty damn low odds!

We still see The Tuckfards and the Burdettinators leading the charge for the playoffs with their projected rankings of 4 and 5 respectively. As discussed on the group chat, The Tuckfards 40 point lead over even the Burdettinators means that the edge is still strongly in The Tuckfard's favour but only if they win! At 6.18% odds over evens that he'll come out with the win it's certainly not a done deal and we could certainly see the Burdettinators stomp IKSAN and perhaps the league with a 120+ win. It also gives insight to the rise of Obi Wan Ganobi as a team in the mix sitting in 6th overall on points.

Here are the charts for the matchups:

Burdettinators vs IKSAN

Obi Wan Ganobi vs Gridiron Gang

Patistan vs ADRZ

The Dream Team vs Forge Flyers

Tom's Tyrants vs Bear Necessities

50 Trent vs The Tuckfards

Next week I will be predicting the winners of the LOC 2018 - hopefully with some extra analysis depending on my promptness - along with a drop in on the podcast so stay tuned!