The following rankings are based on the most likely scenarios, meaning the top 2 are likely to be your remaining playoff teams. However, I will also include my own personal % chance of the scenario panning out, just to add a bit of flavour. Next to the team name is that team's possible routes to the playoffs. Please note that I've ignored the possibility of Gridiron Gang or The Brady Bunch tying...if this happens neither has a chance at playoffs, and Cash4Gould, IKNAN and Bear Necessities would be the only eligible teams for the wildcard.
The Hopefuls
1. The Dream Team 8-5: Division winner (99.9%) or wildcard (99.99999%)
- Coach Nathwani's team is on this list really in name value alone. They've achieved a playoff berth, they just need the games to happen on Sunday to confirm it. With one more win than any of the other contenders and a far superior point total, they are basically in.
- The only way they don't make playoffs is if they lose and are outscored by 2 of Cash4Gould, Bear Necessities and IKNAN. Those teams would all need to win, and to outscore The Dream Team by 78, 123, and 85 respectively.
- So yeah, unless Viv benches all his players, he's made the playoffs. Just to add a tiny bit of spice, they're also playing Cash4Gould in the last week, which should be a good game.
2. Cash4Gould 7-6: Division winner (0.1%) or wildcard (60%)
- As mentioned above, Coach Gardner's chances of winning the division are slim to none, so I won't go into this.
- However, the wildcard is a distinct possibility. If Cash4Gould win and Bear Necessities and IKNAN lose, they make playoffs.
- If IKNAN and Bear Necessities win, Coach Gardner must win and maintain their point lead of 7 and 45 respectively over IKNAN and Bear Necessities, then they get the wildcard
- If they lose, they would need both IKNAN and Bear Necessities to lose, whilst also outscoring the winner of Gridiron Gang v The Brady Bunch (which would require them to outscore them by 86 or 44 respectively).
- So really, Cash4Gould just need to win and outscore IKNAN and Bear Necessities and their chances are good. As stated, they are playing The Dream Team, so it should be a competitive game.
3. Bear Necessities 7-6: Division winner (0.000001%) or wildcard (55%)
- Bear Necessities chances of winning the division are even slimmer than Cash4Gould's because they are so far behind in points. It's just not going to happen.
- The wildcard however is quite possible. A win for Bear Necessities and a loss for Cash4Gould and IKNAN would see Coach Stubbs Sr. returning to playoffs.
- If either or both of those teams win, Bear Necessities would have to win and out score Cash4Gould by 45 and IKNAN by 38.
- If Bear Necessities lose, they would need Cash4Gould and IKNAN to lose, then to outscore the winner of Gridiron Gang v The Brady Bunch by 131 or 89 respectively.
- So again, Bear Necessities needs to win first and foremost, and get some points to boot. They are helped by the softest match up of all these playoff hopefuls, they play The Tuckfards.
4. IKNAN 7-6: Wildcard (50%)
- With Patistan having won their division, Coach Sherwood's only hope is the wildcard, which they are firmly in the race for. If they win and Cash4Gould and Bear Necessities lose, they make the playoffs.
- If IKNAN lose, they need Cash4Gould and Bear Necessities to lose, whilst outscoring Cash 4 Gould by 7 and maintaining their 38 point lead over Bear Necessities. They would also need to outscore the winner of Gridiron Gang and The Brady Bunch by 93 points or 51 points respectively.
- Put simply, IKNAN just needs to win and outscore Cash4Gould by 7, that is their easiest route to the playoffs. They face the toughest match up of the lot however, the league leading Patistan.
T5. Gridiron Gang 6-7: Wildcard (30%)
- Due to ADRZ locking up the division this past week, Gridiron Gang can only achieve a wildcard. This is actually a simpler scenario, as Coach Stubbs Jr. just needs to win and for Cash4Gould, Bear Necessities and IKNAN to all lose. Gridiron Gang are leading the league in points, so they just need to maintain their point lead over the aforementioned (86, 131, 93).
- As I said, simple. Win and get some help is all Gridiron Gang need. They play The Brady Bunch in a show down for a chance at the playoffs.
T5. The Brady Bunch 6-7: Wildcard (30%)
- Coach Nunn is in the exact same boat as Gridiron Gang. They need to win and for Cash4Gould, Bear Necessities and IKNAN to all lose. Their point totals are not as good as Gridiron Gang's, but are substantially higher than the other playoff hopefuls, needing to maintain a lead of 44 over Cash 4 Gould, 89 over Bear Necessities, and 51 over IKNAN.
- Another simple one. They need to win and get some help in a division thriller against Gridiron Gang.
Summary
- The obvious choice is The Dream Team, they've made playoffs. Past that, it's really tough to call. I think it's fair to say if either IKNAN or Cash4Gould win it's a bit of an upset, so I'd say Bear Necessities probably have a good chance of getting the wildcard. However, if IKNAN or Cash4Gould win, one of them will be the wildcard team. In the unlikely event that all three of them lose (though in the league this year it wouldn't be too surprising), the wildcard team would be Gridiron Gang or The Brady Bunch. These two have both looked marvelous and average at times this year, so this should be a thrilling game. As always, stay tuned for the results on Sunday.
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