The LOC Report

Wednesday 30 July 2014

Tag Predictions: Bear Necessities & IKNAN

With the off season being a long, cruel mistress, I thought it would be fun to evaluate A) the potential players who could be franchise tagged, B) the likelihood of said players being tagged (barring preseason injury), C) predicting the three eventual tags, and D) saying what I would do if it were me. Let's get to it (boy it feels good to be writing these again)!

(NOTE: * indicates either free agent or 6+ round pick, only one of these players in each category may be selected per team)


Bear Necessities
Vincent Jackson (5th): Jackson has been a solid member of Bear Necessities for the past two seasons, and this isn't going to change in 2014. A high WR2 at the cost of a 5th round pick, Jackson will be returning to bear town in 2014.

Tag likelihood: He'd be crazy not to

Percy Harvin (6th*): Say what you will about Percy Harvin, but when he is on the field, he is magical. When being the operative word in that sentence. GM Stubbs was fed up with Alfred Morris, so they shipped him off to Gridiron Gang for Harvin. It wouldn't look good trading a player away in the off season, and not tagging the player you've receiver. They just better hope Harvin stays healthy.

Tag likelihood: It's probably going to happen

Vernon Davis (3rd): Vernon Davis is in the very good tier of TE's, not quite cracking the elite. Still, he is VERY GOOD. This coach likes Davis, and he was a good player for him last season. Personally, I don't think this tag represents the best value for the team, but I'm not here to debate, I'm here to predict the tags, and more likely than not he will be a Bear next season.

Tag likelihood: More likely than not

Ryan Matthews (6th*): GM Stubbs took a flyer on Matthews late on in the draft, and it paid off. He turned into the bell cow he was always pegged to be. He lost some work to Woodhead, but churned out a very good season. However, he too has had the injury bug during his career, and is no lock to post the numbers he did last year.

Tag likelihood: Makes a lot of sense, but not quite

Arian Foster (1st): This guy was once a fantastic player for Bear Necessities. Injuries have changed that. This coach has lost faith in Foster, despite the potential he brings. The coach would like to have this guy back, but not at a cost of a 1st round pick. He'll be playing elsewhere next season.

Tag likelihood: It would take a lot to make this happen

Predicted tags: Vincent Jackson (5th), Percy Harvin (6th*), Vernon Davis (3rd)
What I would do: Vincent Jackson (5th), Vernon Davis (3rd), Ben Tate (6th*)


IKNAN
Matt Forte (1st): GM Sherwood brought back Forte last season, and it paid big dividends. He is very loyal to players that serve him well, and holds a grudge when they don't. Forte should be back in IKNAN-Ville next year, despite the lofty 1st round pick needed.

Tag likelihood: He'd be crazy not to

Doug Martin (5th): After an excellent rookie season, GM Sherwood brought back Doug Martin for his sophomore campaign, but it was cut short by injury. We know what he is capable of, and he should be the star of the show for the Bucs next season, so that should translate to him being the star of IKNAN's backfield too.

Tag likelihood: It's probably going to happen

Giovani Bernard (6th*): GM Sherwood managed to scoop up Bernard very late on in the draft last season, which turned out to be an absolute bargain pick. On any other team, he would easily be a tag, but when that team also has Martin, Gordon and Forte, well....that makes it a little bit harder. Though he puts up good numbers, he doesn't project as a workhorse back like Forte and Martin.

Tag likelihood: It’s probably going to happen

Larry Fitzgerald (1st): Everybody is well aware of this coach’s obsession with this guy, and who can blame him? However, this year is the year where common sense outweighs obsession for Coach Sherwood. Albeit a good player, he just isn't worth a first round pick, especially when you have to choose between him and Forte. I wouldn't count this coach changing his mind, but if logic doesn't fail him, Fitzgerald will be released (and likely drafted by him).

Tag likelihood: It would take a lot to make this happen

Antonio Brown (4th): Brown had a great campaign last year, and Coach Sherwood was a prime benefactor of it. He is the clear cut no.1 receiver on a team that should be better than last year. Despite this, he just isn't as valuable as the guys above him here. He is a very good player, but he isn't on the level of the guys already mentioned on this list.

Tag likelihood: It would take a lot to make this happen

Predicted tags: Matt Forte (1st), Doug Martin (5th), Giovani Bernard (6th*)
What I would do: Doug Martin (5th), Josh Gordon (7th*), Giovani Bernard (6th*)

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