With the off season being a long, cruel mistress, I thought it would be
fun to evaluate A) the potential players who could be franchise tagged,
B) the likelihood of said players being tagged (barring preseason
injury), C) predicting the three eventual tags, and D) saying what I
would do if it were me. Let's get to it (boy it feels good to be writing
these again)!
(NOTE: * indicates either free agent or 6+ round pick, only one of these players in each category may be selected per team)
Bear Necessities
Vincent
Jackson (5th): Jackson has been a solid member of Bear Necessities for
the past two seasons, and this isn't going to change in 2014. A high WR2
at the cost of a 5th round pick, Jackson will be returning to bear town
in 2014.
Tag likelihood: He'd be crazy not to
Percy
Harvin (6th*): Say what you will about Percy Harvin, but when he is on
the field, he is magical. When being the operative word in that
sentence. GM Stubbs was fed up with Alfred Morris, so they shipped him
off to Gridiron Gang for Harvin. It wouldn't look good trading a player
away in the off season, and not tagging the player you've receiver. They
just better hope Harvin stays healthy.
Tag likelihood: It's probably going to happen
Vernon
Davis (3rd): Vernon Davis is in the very good tier of TE's, not quite
cracking the elite. Still, he is VERY GOOD. This coach likes Davis, and
he was a good player for him last season. Personally, I don't think this
tag represents the best value for the team, but I'm not here to debate,
I'm here to predict the tags, and more likely than not he will be a
Bear next season.
Tag likelihood: More likely than not
Ryan
Matthews (6th*): GM Stubbs took a flyer on Matthews late on in the
draft, and it paid off. He turned into the bell cow he was always pegged
to be. He lost some work to Woodhead, but churned out a very good
season. However, he too has had the injury bug during his career, and is
no lock to post the numbers he did last year.
Tag likelihood: Makes a lot of sense, but not quite
Arian
Foster (1st): This guy was once a fantastic player for Bear
Necessities. Injuries have changed that. This coach has lost faith in
Foster, despite the potential he brings. The coach would like to have
this guy back, but not at a cost of a 1st round pick. He'll be playing
elsewhere next season.
Tag likelihood: It would take a lot to make this happen
Predicted tags: Vincent Jackson (5th), Percy Harvin (6th*), Vernon Davis (3rd)
What I would do: Vincent Jackson (5th), Vernon Davis (3rd), Ben Tate (6th*)
IKNAN
Matt
Forte (1st): GM Sherwood brought back Forte last season, and it paid
big dividends. He is very loyal to players that serve him well, and
holds a grudge when they don't. Forte should be back in IKNAN-Ville next
year, despite the lofty 1st round pick needed.
Tag likelihood: He'd be crazy not to
Doug
Martin (5th): After an excellent rookie season, GM Sherwood brought
back Doug Martin for his sophomore campaign, but it was cut short by
injury. We know what he is capable of, and he should be the star of the
show for the Bucs next season, so that should translate to him being the
star of IKNAN's backfield too.
Tag likelihood: It's probably going to happen
Giovani
Bernard (6th*): GM Sherwood managed to scoop up Bernard very late on in
the draft last season, which turned out to be an absolute bargain pick.
On any other team, he would easily be a tag, but when that team also
has Martin, Gordon and Forte, well....that makes it a little bit harder.
Though he puts up good numbers, he doesn't project as a workhorse back
like Forte and Martin.
Tag likelihood: It’s probably going to happen
Larry
Fitzgerald (1st): Everybody is well aware of this coach’s obsession
with this guy, and who can blame him? However, this year is the year
where common sense outweighs obsession for Coach Sherwood. Albeit a good
player, he just isn't worth a first round pick, especially when you
have to choose between him and Forte. I wouldn't count this coach
changing his mind, but if logic doesn't fail him, Fitzgerald will be
released (and likely drafted by him).
Tag likelihood: It would take a lot to make this happen
Antonio
Brown (4th): Brown had a great campaign last year, and Coach Sherwood
was a prime benefactor of it. He is the clear cut no.1 receiver on a
team that should be better than last year. Despite this, he just isn't
as valuable as the guys above him here. He is a very good player, but he
isn't on the level of the guys already mentioned on this list.
Tag likelihood: It would take a lot to make this happen
Predicted tags: Matt Forte (1st), Doug Martin (5th), Giovani Bernard (6th*)
What I would do: Doug Martin (5th), Josh Gordon (7th*), Giovani Bernard (6th*)
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